🔴 Live 2026 Results
🗳️ Election Results — Live
2026 U.S. Senate Midterms · Updated 7:29:41 AM
36.10M
James Harrow
Republican
50.0% of vote
34.82M
Sarah Mitchell
Democrat
48.3% of vote
1.24M
Ray Costello
Independent
1.7% of vote
National Popular Vote
James HarrowRepublican
36.10M(50.0%)
Sarah MitchellDemocrat
34.82M(48.3%)
Ray CostelloIndependent
1.24M(1.7%)
78% precincts reporting nationally
Key Battleground States
State Breakdown
FL
James Harrow leading
90% precincts reporting
30
EV
Mitchell: 4.12MHarrow: 4.68M
PA
Sarah Mitchell leading
65% precincts reporting
19
EV
Mitchell: 3.31MHarrow: 3.19M
GA
Sarah Mitchell leading
82% precincts reporting
16
EV
Mitchell: 2.84MHarrow: 2.75M
AZ
Sarah Mitchell leading
55% precincts reporting
11
EV
Mitchell: 1.92MHarrow: 1.88M
TX
James Harrow leading
95% precincts reporting
40
EV
Mitchell: 3.91MHarrow: 5.23M
County-Level Results Map
Battleground States Democrat Republican
Click any county to see vote totals, margin of victory, and precinct reporting progress. Darker shading = larger margin.
Election Forecast
Model based on current vote margins, precinct reporting & historical swing-state patterns
National Win Probability
James Harrow
Lean
60%
Sarah Mitchell
Toss-Up
40%
78% of precincts reporting · 22% of vote still outstanding · Margin: 1.8%
Swing State Competitiveness
AZ
Mitchell 55%Harrow 45%
Toss-Up
55% in
PA
Mitchell 58%Harrow 42%
Toss-Up
65% in
GA
Mitchell 58%Harrow 42%
Toss-Up
82% in
FL
Harrow 98%Mitchell 2%
6.4% margin
90% in
TX
Harrow 98%Mitchell 2%
14.4% margin
95% in
⚠️ Forecast is a statistical model, not a guaranteed outcome. Probabilities update as precincts report.
Party Support Shift: 2022 → 2026
Comparing margin changes across the same states
AZ
2022
Yuen
+3.5%
-2.4% shift
2026
Mitchell
+1.1%
FL
2022
Briggs
+4.0%
+2.3% shift
2026
Harrow
+6.4%
TX
2022
Briggs
+13.0%
+1.4% shift
2026
Harrow
+14.4%
PA
2022
Yuen
+3.0%
-1.1% shift
2026
Mitchell
+1.8%
GA
2022
Yuen
+0.7%
+0.9% shift
2026
Mitchell
+1.6%
↑ Rightward shift (R gains) · ↓ Leftward shift (D gains) · 🟡 State changed hands
🔴 LIVE — Results auto-refresh every 30 seconds
📊 Total votes cast: 72.16M
🗺️ States called: 2